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Post War Politics of Sri Lanka

[TamilNet, Friday, 16 September 2011 08:14 No Comment]

The conclusion of the 18th session of the UNHRC will reveal whether there is anything left to rely on the International Community of Establishments, writes TamilNet Economic and Geopolitical Analyst in the Asia Pacific. While the Eezham Tamils are the worst affected by the war, they are also at the receiving end of the post war Sri Lankan Politics which is indeed continuation of the war by other means or to put it bluntly the continuation of the Genocide. We should always hope for the best but be prepared for the worst. That preparedness is the Solidarity we develop with our Natural Allies. The Natural Allies will certainly include those in the Sinhala society rising up against the Family Rule provided they recognize the Right of Self Determination of the Tamil Speaking Nation, a recognition (including the right to secede) adopted by the Ceylon Communist Party in 1944, he further said.

Full text of the article by TamilNet Economic and Geopolitical Analyst in the Asia Pacific follows:

“War is but the continuation of Politics by other means”, say the Political Scientists. Since we are discussing “Post War Politics”, it is better to put a spin on that statement and say, “Politics is the continuation of war by other means”. That is exactly what is happening in the island of Sri Lanka.

After winning the war without witness against Eelam Tamils in May 2009, the partners of war, both local and foreign, are now engaged in sharing the spoils of war. The Government of Sri Lanka (GoSL), which was engaged in the Genocide of Tamils from the time (1948) Power was transferred to it by British Imperialism against peaceful resistance of Tamils till it was stalemated by the armed resistance of Eelam Tamils, is now continuing the Genocide from 2009 without any resistance. As for sharing of spoils of war with the foreign partners of war, GoSL has managed to control the spoon so far.

The three brothers share the “agency fees” from the three foreign partners of the war China, West and India. China, though the last foreign partner to the war since 2007, is enjoying the major share of spoils from Day 1. China’s privileged position is probably due to the traditional anti Indian and anti Western mood of the Sinhala society.

Peter Foster, the UK Daily Telegraph correspondent in India till 2008 and in China from 2008 during the critical period of the war wrote on February 9th 2010 that China was strictly neutral in the war till President Rajapakse visited China in 2007, probably due to fear of annoying India.

It is common knowledge that though India was not one of the Co chairs of the CFA of 2002, it was a joint baby of India and the West. Every time Erik Solheim visited Colombo, he made it a point to visit Delhi from 2002 onwards. It is learnt that President Rajapakse visited China in 2007 after it was decided earlier in 2007 in Delhi (with the concurrence of the West, a valid inference based on the European ban of the LTTE) that the LTTE must be defeated at any cost.

So it is more than a speculation to conclude that President Rajapakse carried not only his invitation but also the invitation of India and the West for China to join the war and offered all the possible bribes. India knew by the experience of the IPKF days that West and India couldn’t ensure victory in the war on their own due to the anti Indian and anti Western mood of the Sinhala society.

China must have got thrilled for who gets a bribe to eat the cake which it feared even to approach according to Peter Foster. Of course, it would have been made easier by the fact that we were reluctant even to talk to China for fear of our “Allies”, the West and India.

It is difficult for some to believe as to why the “Whole World” should gang up against the tiny 3 millions of Eezham Tamil Nation unless they consider the interests behind the Powers. As seen, for China it is the much-awaited gateway to the strategic region. For the other two, it is publicized as the killing of Rajeev and Fight against Terrorism. Both the New Delhi and US Establishments know that the LTTE was only a scapegoat in the Rajeev killing and that the Terrorist Phobia is only a Diversion from the Real Issues.

Though many had been fooled to believe in the Diversions, the real reason is that the New Delhi and US Establishments are partners in opposing National Liberation Movements in general unless they ”toe the line”. Genuinely independent National Liberation Movements blast the foundations of the “World Order” and hence are not to be tolerated.

The Leadership of the Eezham Liberation Movement was stubbornly independent (whether it is desirable or not is another matter) as evident during the IPKF days and apparently the New Delhi and Western Establishments thought, if allowed to succeed, it will not only send a wave of Liberation among the other Nations without State (numbering 230 well established out of an estimated 6000, 1/3 of whom exist in the Indian Region) but also will send a wave of independence among the economically oppressed Nations with State.

So the barbaric war was let loose on Eezham Tamils by withdrawing all witnesses with the full knowledge and participation of the Powers of the World.

While the Eezham Tamils are the worst affected by the war, they are also at the receiving end of the post war Sri Lankan Politics which is indeed continuation of the war by other means or to put it bluntly the continuation of the Genocide which was stalemated during the earlier times till the last stages of the war.

Whatever that is done in the name of Development including infrastructural developments, is in the interests of the occupation forces and continuation of the Genocide. The occupation forces have let loose the “Grease Devils” to harass and subjugate the already traumatized people. Nobody speaks of Reparation of War victims by the victors though that is one of the major recommendations of the UNSG Panel Report.

Since GoSL (or the Three brothers to be precise) controls the spoon that shares the spoils of war among the foreign partners of war, the foreign partners are not likely to speak for the war victims because they are also party to the crimes and also would not want to annoy GoSL for fear of losing their share of the spoils of war.

Although a latecomer to the partnership in the war, the prevailing mood in the Sinhala society enabled China to receive major share of the spoils of war and China maintains this relationship by declaring its unconditional support to GoSL.

New Delhi and Western Establishments, the longtime war partners are smarting that they had not been given their due shares and shouting empty slogans like reconciliation, human rights, accountability etc probably as bargaining chips to get their dye shares.

New Delhi Establishment goes a step further and says that if they push the Tamil cause more, that would push Sri Lanka into the hands of China without realizing that the anti Indian and anti western mood in the Sinhala society will always prefer China.. If the New Delhi and Western Establishments had been aware of this consequence in 2007, probably they would have played a more neutral role. But like individuals, countries are also blinded of the long term by the short term.

Though GoSL will like to confine Politics to Tamil or more specifically to Terrorism (even if imaginary) Politics, the Sinhala society is getting more concerned with the Family Rule. But since the three brothers are personally handling the three war partners (China, West and India) and also personally enjoying the fruits, the three war partners will not be concerned with the Family Rule. After all, they all are used to handling more brutal dictators so long as they are useful.

So it is useless being carried away by the nice words reconciliation, human rights, accountability etc., by the dissatisfied war partners or unconditional support to GOSL by the satisfied war partners but we need to concentrate in developing solidarity with our Natural Allies so that we will be a force to reckon when the war partners are likely to part ways.

Past experience and the TNA Statement of 13th September 2011 to the 18th sessions of UNHRC that started on 12th September 2011 reveal that GoSL cannot be relied upon. Also the conclusion of the 18th session of the UNHRC will reveal whether there is anything left to rely on the International Community of Establishments.

We should always hope for the best but be prepared for the worst. That preparedness is the Solidarity we develop with our Natural Allies. The Natural Allies will certainly include those in the Sinhala society rising up against the Family Rule provided they recognize the Right of Self Determination of the Tamil Speaking Nation, A Recognition (including the right to secede) adopted by the Ceylon Communist Party in 1944.

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